- Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?33¢33%
- Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?20¢20%
- Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?15¢15%
- Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?10¢10%
- Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?5¢5%
- Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?4¢4%
- Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?4¢4%
- Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP?2¢2%
- Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?2¢2%
- Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?1¢1%
- Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL MVP?1¢1%
- Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP?<1¢<1%
- 2%32.9%Joe Burrow$56.2k Vol.
- 1%20%Josh Allen$78k Vol.
- 14.9%Brock Purdy$52.6k Vol.
- 10.1%Trevor Lawrence$47.1k Vol.
- 6%4.6%Jordan Love$36.3k Vol.
- 1%4%Patrick Mahomes$49.7k Vol.
- 1%3.6%Caleb Williams$164.3k Vol.
- 2.4%Jaxson Smith-Njigba$51.9k Vol.
- 1.6%Jared Goff$35k Vol.
- 1.3%Justin Herbert$89.7k Vol.
- 1%1%Jahmyr Gibbs$26.5k Vol.
- 0.5%Dak Prescott$47.8k Vol.
Joe Burrow leads the 2026 NFL MVP market at 32.8% implied probability due to his league-leading efficiency and volume through eight games, including 23 passing touchdowns, a 74% completion rate, and multiple multi-touchdown outings that have powered the Bengals to a strong record. Josh Allen sits at 20% as the Bills maintain a 7-1 mark, though his recent passing numbers trail Burrow's pace despite dual-threat contributions. Brock Purdy at 15.4% and Jordan Love at 10.8% reflect the 49ers' and Packers' winning form plus their quarterbacks' recent efficiency spikes, while Trevor Lawrence holds 10.1% amid Jacksonville's solid start. Caleb Williams has slipped to 3.6% after a multi-interception performance, and Patrick Mahomes remains at 2.5% behind Kansas City's results. These prices capture the wisdom of crowds reacting to midseason statistical separation and team outcomes at the halfway point.
Rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.