This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Recent oversupply from expanded U.S. laying flocks (up ~5% year-over-year) and record productivity has driven wholesale large white egg prices to ~39–43 cents per dozen in mid-August 2026, down sharply from 2025 peaks, while BLS retail averages reached $2.19 in July after falling from $2.58 in January. Elevated feed costs (corn/soy) and labor continue to pressure producer margins even as inventories sit above five-year medians and demand holds steady. A mid-August salmonella recall and isolated avian flu detections add modest upside risk, yet the closely matched trader odds around $2.10–$2.40 reflect expectations that August retail prices will stabilize near recent levels absent major supply shocks before month-end BLS data.