Osun State Gubernatorial Election Winner
- Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?89¢
- Will Farinloye Olarenwaju win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?<1¢
- Will Esan Olajide win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?<1¢
- Will Najeem Salam win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?<1¢
- Will Adeagbo Opawoye win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?<1¢
- Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?11¢
- Will Adesina Adeyemi-Doro win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?<1¢
- Will Adewale Adebayo win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?<1¢
- Will Taofeek Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?<1¢
- Will Saliu Oyelami win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?<1¢
- Will Adefemi Adesuyi win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?<1¢
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Osun State and Nigeria, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://inecnigeria.org).
Ademola Adeleke, the incumbent Accord Party governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding 79% implied probability in the Osun State gubernatorial race on election day. Partial results from over half of polling units show him ahead with roughly 53% of votes against main challenger Bola Oyebamiji of the APC at around 44%, consistent with his decisive win in his own unit. Recent developments include Adeleke’s party primaries success, campaign focus on his five-point agenda, and endorsements from high-profile figures that reinforced his position. With collation ongoing and 14 candidates on the ballot, traders have priced in his strong incumbency advantage and early lead momentum while assigning lower odds to trailing contenders amid the vote-counting process.