- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 15 million views on day 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?6¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?20¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?33¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?31¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?4¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?8¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Recent MrBeast uploads have posted day-one YouTube views clustered in the mid-to-high 20 millions, establishing the narrow trader consensus around the 25–35M brackets that together command 64% implied probability. Declining peak velocity compared with earlier 2026 releases, softer algorithmic promotion, and audience fatigue with high-stakes challenge formats appear to be the dominant downward pressures, while competition from Shorts and platform-wide view-count adjustments scheduled for August 24 introduce modest upside variance. Guild-style precursors such as SocialBlade trackers and early engagement metrics continue to anchor the market, with any surprise teaser drop or viral clip capable of shifting the 30–35M edge before resolution.