- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 47 million views on day 3?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 49 million views on day 3?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 51 million views on day 3?6¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 53 million views on day 3?66¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 55 million views on day 3?25¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?2¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get at least 57 million views on day 3?2¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 72 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 72 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
MrBeast’s latest long-form challenge video, released August 8, has tracked toward the 51–53 million views bucket on day three because its initial 24-hour surge aligned with recent patterns for subscriber-driven drops while day-two velocity moderated as expected. Traders price the 65.5% implied probability on that range after observing steady accumulation from his 514-million-subscriber base and the typical front-loaded decay curve that adds roughly 15–20 million views between the 48- and 72-hour marks. Competition from other high-profile uploads and softer recent chart performance have capped upside bets on 55 million-plus, keeping those outcomes under 5% combined. The market now focuses on final chart lock and any late algorithmic push before resolution.