- Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?18¢
- Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?5¢
- Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?21¢
- Will Olara Otunnu be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?<1¢
- Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?2¢
- Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?43¢
- Will Ivonne de Baki be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?<1¢
- Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?5¢
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rebeca Grynspan leads the race for the next United Nations Secretary-General, who will take office on 1 January 2027, after receiving the strongest results in the Security Council’s first informal straw poll on 30 July 2026. The Costa Rican economist and current UNCTAD head secured ten “encourage” votes and only one “discourage” vote from the fifteen members, ahead of Guyana’s Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett and Argentina’s Rafael Grossi. This early indication of broad support with limited permanent-member opposition has shaped trader consensus. The selection process, launched in late 2025, included member-state nominations, April interactive dialogues, and a July town hall; additional straw polls will refine preferences before any formal recommendation reaches the General Assembly. Grynspan’s UN-system experience and emphasis on institutional renewal contribute to her current positioning.