Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
- Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?<1¢
- Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?1¢
- Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?<1¢
- Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?2¢
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?95¢
- Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?<1¢
- Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?<1¢
- Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?<1¢
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abiy Ahmed holds a commanding position in the market for Ethiopia’s next prime minister, reflecting his Prosperity Party’s decisive victory in the June 2026 parliamentary elections that delivered a strong majority and set the stage for his re-election to another five-year term. Recent consolidation of parliamentary support has reinforced trader consensus around his continued leadership despite ongoing regional insurgencies in Amhara and Oromia that closed some polling stations. Potential shifts could arise from internal party dynamics, health developments, or major escalations in domestic conflicts that alter the balance of power before formal confirmation.