- Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?56¢
- Will Yomelela Tyali be the next mayor of Buffalo City?19¢
- Will Bongiwe Sauli be the next mayor of Buffalo City?4¢
- Will Ncedo Kumbaca be the next mayor of Buffalo City?7¢
- Will Nocawe Mafu be the next mayor of Buffalo City?4¢
- Will Mkhululi Dlevu be the next mayor of Buffalo City?<1¢
- Will Nqabayomzi Kwankwa be the next mayor of Buffalo City?5¢
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Buffalo City’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Buffalo City following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Buffalo City Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Princess Faku, the incumbent ANC executive mayor since March 2023, leads trader pricing due to her visibility in recent municipal initiatives, including mayoral committee reconfiguration in March 2026, public budget engagements, and repeated anti-crime marches through April and June. Local government elections scheduled for November 2026 will determine the outcome, with ANC internal candidate selection processes and potential coalition dynamics in a hung council remaining key variables. Other contenders such as Yomelela Tyali (current MMC), Ncedo Kumbaca (PR councillor), and Nqabayomzi Kwankwa draw support from party branch networks and administrative roles, keeping odds clustered as traders assess nomination outcomes and ward-level performance on service delivery and finances. Late developments in ANC lists or audit results could shift probabilities ahead of voting.