- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on or prior to September 9, 2026?28¢
- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 10, 2026?36¢
- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 11, 2026?35¢
- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 12, 2026?3¢
- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 13, 2026?12¢
- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 14, 2026?6¢
- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 15, 2026?4¢
- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 16, 2026?4¢
- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026?4¢
- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?55¢
- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 19, 2026?2¢
- Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 20, 2026?2¢
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 would arrive in roughly 10 days, following Grok 4.6’s August 12 launch and supplemental training on SpaceX engineering data, remains the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model’s expected gains in capability and token efficiency, set against xAI’s pattern of monthly foundation-model releases, have concentrated implied probabilities on mid-September dates. Persistent slippage in prior targets—originally eyed for late August—plus the absence of an official model ID, pricing, or benchmarks as of September 7, introduce realistic delays that traders appear to price in around September 18. Key near-term catalysts include any fresh Musk updates on training completion or xAI developer documentation confirming readiness.