- Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?87¢
- Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?14¢
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Democratic Representative Chris Pappas leads recent general election polling averages against likely Republican contenders such as former Senator John Sununu, reflecting New Hampshire’s modest Democratic lean in federal races and the state’s partisan voting index. The open seat created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has drawn established primary candidates on both sides ahead of the September 8 primaries, yet consistent advantages for the Democratic nominee in head-to-head surveys have shaped trader consensus. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in Republican recruitment remain the nearest catalysts that could influence positioning before the November general election.