- Will Air Force Falcons advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game?52¢52%
- Will Northern Illinois Huskies advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game?51¢51%
- Will New Mexico Lobos advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game?50¢50%
- Will North Dakota State Bison advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game?50¢50%
- Will San José State Spartans advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game?50¢50%
- Will UNLV Rebels advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game?50¢50%
- Will Wyoming Cowboys advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game?50¢50%
- Will Nevada Wolf Pack advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game?50¢50%
- Will Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game?46¢46%
- Will UTEP Miners advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game?45¢45%
New Mexico holds the top spot in Mountain West standings with a 2-0 conference mark and 5-1 overall record, driven by the nation’s best turnover margin and a dominant defense that has limited opponents to low scoring outputs. North Dakota State, Air Force, and Wyoming sit at 3-1 in league play, though NDSU suffered its first conference loss in a 13-7 upset to UNLV, which remains at 2-1 alongside San José State. The conference realignment has created a more open race heading into late October, with New Mexico hosting NDSU on October 24 as a pivotal early test. Remaining schedules, home-field advantages, and injury updates to key quarterbacks will shape which teams secure spots in the December 4 championship game.
Rules
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mountain West; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.