- Will California have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?33¢33%
- Will California have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?7¢7%
- Will California have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?<1¢<1%
California Golden Bears sit at 3-6 overall and 2-4 in the ACC through nine games in Tosh Lupoi’s first season, with a 6.5 regular-season win total set before the year. Persistent offensive line and running back injuries have crippled a ground game averaging just 84 rushing yards per contest, while second-half collapses have produced lopsided losses to Wake Forest and SMU. Quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele has shown flashes in the passing game, but the defense has surrendered 31.6 points per game. Three remaining contests—at Virginia and home against Stanford and Pittsburgh—offer limited margin for error if the Bears hope to approach six wins and bowl eligibility. Market positioning reflects the combination of early-season results, roster attrition, and a difficult closing stretch against ACC competition.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.