- Will Monday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?96¢
- Will Tuesday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?4¢
- Will Wednesday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?<1¢
- Will Thursday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?<1¢
- Will Friday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?<1¢
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the episode of Jesse Watters Primetime with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 10 - August 16, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If Nielsen reports an entry for Jesse Watters Primetime without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If two or more episodes of Jesse Watters Primetime are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Monday's commanding 89.5% implied probability stems from stronger-than-expected P2+ viewership numbers that outpaced the rest of the week, a common pattern in cable news when major political stories or guest-host appearances align with the start of the news cycle. Kayleigh McEnany filling in for Jesse Watters on August 10 drew heightened interest around topics like Fauci texts and WNBA coverage, while subsequent episodes on Tuesday through Friday lacked comparable momentum or breaking developments to close the gap. Traders appear to be pricing in confirmed ratings data showing Monday's lead as decisive, with little room for late surges given the week’s relatively quiet news environment. Upcoming chart or Nielsen updates could refine totals, but the current consensus reflects Monday’s clear edge in audience metrics.