Moscow air traffic suspended by...?
- Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?97¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The relevant airports are: - Sheremetyevo (SVO); - Domodedovo (DME); and - Vnukovo (VKO). A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify. The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ukrainian drone attacks remain the dominant driver of repeated suspensions at Moscow's major airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky. Russian authorities through Rosaviatsiya have imposed temporary flight restrictions multiple times in June 2026 amid large-scale strikes, with the largest reported assaults on June 18 and June 22 triggering evacuations, cancellations, and multi-hour closures. Subsequent measures in July lowered altitude limits and banned transit flights over the region for security reasons. As of mid-August, U.S. Embassy alerts continue to flag frequent airspace disruptions tied to drone threats across western Russia. Trader consensus on timing and triggers reflects ongoing conflict dynamics, where escalations in Ukrainian strikes or Russian air defense responses could prompt further suspensions within any specified resolution window.