- Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?25¢25%
- Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?18¢18%
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?16¢16%
- Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?6¢6%
- Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?5¢5%
- Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?5¢5%
- Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?4¢4%
- Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?4¢4%
- Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?4¢4%
- Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?3¢3%
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?3¢3%
- Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?2¢2%
- 1%24.8%Nashville SC$360.3k Vol.
- 18%Inter Miami CF$140k Vol.
- 15.9%Vancouver Whitecaps FC$412.2k Vol.
- 5.7%St. Louis City SC$113.6k Vol.
- 5.5%FC Dallas$106.2k Vol.
- 5.3%Philadelphia Union$256.8k Vol.
- 4.5%Chicago Fire FC$259.1k Vol.
- 4.4%Los Angeles FC$64.6k Vol.
- 4.3%New England Revolution$73.3k Vol.
- 2.7%Houston Dynamo FC$493.1k Vol.
- 2.6%San Jose Earthquakes$1.2m Vol.
- 2.1%Charlotte FC$2m Vol.
Nashville SC’s record-setting 77-point regular season, including a league-best +46 goal difference and the Supporters’ Shield, underpins their 23.7% market share, anchored by elite defense and consistent results at GEODIS Park. Inter Miami CF sits close behind at 18.0% thanks to Lionel Messi’s 26 goals and 13 assists driving an 80-goal attack despite a 17-point gap in the standings. Vancouver Whitecaps FC’s 15.8% reflects their Western Conference dominance with 64 points and a +40 goal difference. With the top three probabilities tightly clustered, the market highlights how playoff variance, best-of-three series formats, home-field edges, and potential for upsets compress distinctions among the strongest regular-season sides heading into the November 19 postseason opener.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.