Science · PandemicsMeasles cases in U.S. by November 30?
Measles cases in U.S. by November 30?
Start Date
2026-10-30
End Date
2026-12-01
24h Volume
$2K
Total Volume
$2K
Start Date
2026-10-30
End Date
2026-12-01
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?99¢99%
- Will there be at least 5600 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?78¢78%
- Will there be at least 5800 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?60¢60%
- Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?15¢15%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.