- Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 15°C or below on August 24?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 16°C on August 24?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 17°C on August 24?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 18°C on August 24?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 19°C on August 24?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 20°C on August 24?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 21°C on August 24?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C on August 24?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on August 24?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on August 24?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C or higher on August 24?100¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.