- Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 25?25¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on August 25?34¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 25?34¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 25?34¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on August 25?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on August 25?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 25 under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, supporting the near-even market odds between those outcomes and 26°C. High daytime humidity near 60% and dew points around 24–26°C will moderate radiative cooling after sunset, while the lack of cloud cover or rain favors efficient heat loss from the surface. Slight variations in wind speed or localized cloud patches could shift the minimum by 1°C, explaining the balanced trader positioning around these thresholds rather than lower or higher extremes.