- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 23?>99¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 23?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting international model runs indicate a daily minimum temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on August 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling typical of late-summer conditions in the region. This aligns closely with climatological baselines of 23–25°C for the date and explains the overwhelming market-implied odds favoring 25°C. Minor model spreads around timing of any partial clearing introduce limited uncertainty, but current guidance shows low likelihood of dropping to 24°C or below. Resolution hinges on official JMA observations, with any unexpected increase in wind or clearer skies the primary variables that could realistically shift the outcome.