Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 14?
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 14?7¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 14?92¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on August 14?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong market consensus around 23°C for Tokyo’s August 14 minimum reflects official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models projecting overnight lows near the 23.6°C seasonal normal. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit radiational cooling under typical late-summer humidity and weak pressure gradients. This positioning aligns with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming cold air mass. A clear-sky episode or stronger-than-forecast northerly flow could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 22°C, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations unlikely before the 24-hour observation window closes.