- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 20°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on August 26?>99¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C low in Taipei on August 26 reflects current Central Weather Administration forecasts and model consensus showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near that level amid typical late-summer humidity and cloud cover. In Taipei’s humid subtropical climate, August nocturnal lows historically average 25–26°C, with limited radiative cooling due to high moisture and urban heat effects. Recent observations and short-range guidance indicate no strong frontal passages or typhoon influences altering this pattern on the date, keeping minimums tightly clustered around 26°C. Outlier scenarios such as clearer skies enabling extra cooling to 24°C or below remain low-probability given persistent cloudiness and dew points near 25°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening will provide the final data for resolution.