- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C or below on August 24?14¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on August 24?24¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on August 24?22¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on August 24?23¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on August 24?27¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on August 24?28¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 24?29¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 24?22¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 24?12¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 24?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on August 24?11¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models points to overnight lows near 26–27°C in Taipei on August 24, driven by persistent summer monsoon moisture, high humidity around 75–80%, and frequent afternoon thundershowers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological baselines for late August, where urban heat retention and light winds often keep minima in the mid-20s Celsius rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because model runs show limited variability in steering patterns or cloud cover, though minor shifts in precipitation timing or wind could favor 24–25°C or push toward 28°C. Refined short-range updates over the next 48 hours will likely tighten resolution odds.