- Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on August 23?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on August 23?19¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 23?18¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 23?40¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 23?43¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on August 23?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms across southern China anchor overnight lows in Shenzhen near 27°C for August 23, with forecast models clustering minima between 26–28°C amid 80–90% relative humidity and light southerly winds. This subtropical summer pattern, typical for the region, limits radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the lowest temperature tightly distributed around historical August averages of 26–27°C. Trader consensus favoring 27°C and 28°C reflects minor spreads in model timing of convective activity rather than major atmospheric shifts, while lower outcomes like 25°C or below remain improbable without unexpected clear-sky subsidence. New observational data or updated runs from agencies could adjust these short-range probabilities before resolution.