- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 8?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 8?6¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 8?16¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 8?51¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 8?29¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 8?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C in Shanghai on September 8, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler continental air and moderate humidity levels following scattered overnight showers. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies will be tempered by residual moisture and light winds, limiting the drop below recent nighttime values around 22–23°C observed on September 6–7. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 23–25°C, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the final reading. Official station data released after midnight local time will resolve the market.