- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 7?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 7?22¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 7?79¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily minimum near 23–24°C for Shanghai on September 7, driven by northerly winds and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Current conditions show surface temperatures around 24–26°C with moderate humidity and light northerly flow, consistent with early September patterns where seasonal cooling is gradual. Model consensus favors 24°C as the most probable low, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact reading by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine this outlook before official observations finalize the market resolution.