- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 2?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on September 2?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 2?14¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 2?90¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 2?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent rain, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover on September 2 are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Shanghai, keeping the daily minimum temperature anchored near 25°C according to consensus forecasts from multiple meteorological sources. Northeast winds and an active weather pattern further suppress temperature drops, with observed and projected lows clustered between 24–26°C. This scientific context aligns closely with trader positioning, where the 25°C outcome holds a dominant implied probability while lower thresholds like 23°C or below remain secondary possibilities if heavier precipitation or clearer skies develop overnight. Updated model runs and official monitoring will refine these dynamics as the day concludes.