- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 28?12¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 28?46¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 28?35¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 28?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on August 28?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies show Shanghai's overnight low on August 28 settling near 27–28 °C amid persistent subtropical warmth, light rain, and easterly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. High humidity and cloud cover reduce radiative heat loss, keeping temperatures above the late-August climatological average of roughly 24 °C. Ensemble runs exhibit tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread from timing of showers or brief wind shifts. The market's heavy weighting on 27 °C (47 %) and 28 °C (36 %) mirrors this model consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts in the region.