- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 27?25¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 27?70¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 27?8¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 27?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on August 27?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 27 to fall between 26–28°C under continued warm, humid subtropical conditions with northeast winds of 10–20 km/h and variable cloud cover or light rain. High overnight humidity near 80–85% and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud cover are expected to hold lows near the upper end of the typical late-August range, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 28°C (69%) and 27°C (25%). Model consensus shows no incoming cold front or significant cooling mechanism before resolution, though minor variations in cloud timing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C.