- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 23?8¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 23?18¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 23?74¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on August 23?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus across meteorological models points to an overnight low near 27°C for Shanghai on August 23, 2026, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward that threshold. Persistent subtropical high pressure maintains warm, humid air masses with dew points near 25–27°C and relative humidity above 80%, limiting radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. Recent observations show daily lows holding at 25–27°C amid scattered showers that further suppress temperature drops. Ensemble guidance indicates minimal deviation expected before resolution, though any unexpected clearing overnight could allow a brief dip toward 26°C. Traders’ consensus aligns with these official agency trends rather than historical August climatology of ~24°C lows.