- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 20?6¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 20?14¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 20?77¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on August 20?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 20, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions including high humidity, light easterly winds, and expected cloud cover or scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show minimal influence from stronger weather systems, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with climatological averages for mid-August rather than allowing deeper drops. These factors underpin the dominant trader positioning around 27°C, while residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and urban heat island effects sustains the smaller probability for 26°C. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.