Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on August 18?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 18?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 18?14¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 18?68¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 18?7¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 18?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on August 18?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent typhoon activity, including the passage of Typhoon Dolphin in early August, has introduced increased cloud cover, residual moisture, and moderated atmospheric conditions over eastern China, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Shanghai. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services project minimum temperatures around 25–26°C on August 18 amid overcast skies and potential thundershowers, aligning with the market's strong 68% implied probability for 26°C as the lowest reading. Model consensus emphasizes typical late-summer humidity trapping heat near the surface, with historical August lows averaging near 25–26°C and no strong cold-air advection expected in the immediate 24–48 hour window. Traders appear to weigh these stable patterns against minor variability from localized rainfall, supporting the clustered probabilities around 25–27°C while assigning low odds to extremes.