Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 15?6¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 15?35¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 15?45¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 15?13¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 15?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on August 15?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 15 show model consensus clustered near 25–26 °C, with ensemble spreads of 1–2 °C arising from uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Clear skies would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, favoring the lower end, while increased low-level humidity or light winds from the East China Sea could limit that drop and support 26 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central districts add a further variable of roughly 0.5–1 °C compared with suburban stations used for verification. With resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded by official Chinese Meteorological Administration observations, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and any evening updates to boundary conditions.