Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 14?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 14?19¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 14?76¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 14?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like NOAA and local meteorological services, combined with persistent high humidity and extensive cloud cover following recent typhoon activity near Shanghai, strongly favor a minimum temperature of 26°C on August 14, 2026. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows near or slightly below the typical mid-August average of 25–27°C. Recent observations of overcast skies and scattered showers have reinforced trader consensus around this narrow range, with implied probabilities reflecting the low likelihood of significant drops below 25°C absent clearer, drier air. Updated model runs and final overnight readings will determine resolution.