- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 2?17¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 2?93¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate stable atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula, with light winds, high humidity, and partial cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a lowest temperature near 22°C in Incheon on September 2. This aligns with climatological norms for early September and drives the strong 92% market-implied probability for that outcome. Traders are weighting the consensus across ensemble models, which show minimal deviation expected before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted cold air advection or clearer skies enhancing heat loss, potentially dropping readings toward 21°C or lower.