- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 28?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 28?4¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 28?90¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C or higher on August 28?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 28 will hold near 24–26°C overnight, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–92%, and scattered showers preventing substantial radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's strong 89.5% implied probability on 26°C as the daily low, as current observations show early-morning readings already at or above 25–26°C and limited overnight drop expected under southerly flow. Historical August minima average around 23°C, but above-normal warmth and moisture this season have elevated the floor. Resolution depends on the official Incheon station reading; further model updates or unexpected clearing could shift the exact minimum within the narrow 24–26°C range.