- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 24?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 24?6¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 24?94¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 24 amid persistent late-summer heat and high humidity levels near 90%. This aligns with ongoing heatwave conditions across the region, where daytime highs reach 30–32°C and nocturnal cooling remains limited by warm advection and partial cloud cover. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns, consistent with historical late-August baselines elevated by seasonal warmth. A realistic shift below 26°C would require an unforecasted surge of cooler maritime air or heavier overnight precipitation, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.