- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 22?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22?33¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 22?69¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C or higher on August 22?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show the overnight minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 22 most likely settling at 24–25 °C, producing the tight 46–48.5 % market split. Primary differentiators include the strength of the sea-breeze circulation off the Yellow Sea, which moderates coastal Incheon readings, versus localized urban heat retention and variable low-level cloud cover that can raise or lower the minimum by 1 °C. Recent model runs exhibit small spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 23 °C or lower probabilities under 5 %. Forecasters will issue final guidance overnight; traders should monitor the 00–06 UTC KMA forecast updates for any last-minute adjustments to the inversion or wind field.