- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 20?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 20?6¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 20?92¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on August 20?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Weather models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a stable late-summer pattern over the Korean Peninsula, with clear to partly cloudy conditions expected to produce a minimum temperature of 25°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 20. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-to-late August, where overnight lows typically range 23–26°C absent strong frontal systems or unusual radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show high agreement on light winds and moderate humidity limiting further drops, supporting the market's 92.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or revised model runs could shift outcomes toward 24°C, though current data offer little indication of such changes before the observation window closes.