- Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on August 24?29¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on August 24?>99¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official temperature observations from Sao Paulo’s primary meteorological stations, reported by Brazil’s INMET, recorded a minimum of 14°C on August 24, driving the near-certain market consensus. Ensemble forecasts from CPTEC and regional models showed strong agreement on this overnight low, consistent with typical August climatology for the city and recent atmospheric conditions featuring clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling. Traders weighted the verified station data heavily over preliminary model runs. Only a significant post-analysis revision or outlier reading from a secondary site could alter resolution, though historical verification patterns make such shifts rare.