- Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on August 28?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on August 28?25¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on August 28?69¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on August 28?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Coastal moderation and a late-August seasonal transition are anchoring trader expectations for Qingdao’s daily minimum temperature near 21–22 °C on August 28, 2026. Qingdao’s maritime setting on the Yellow Sea typically keeps overnight lows several degrees cooler than inland Shandong, with August climatological averages of 22–24 °C. Current model guidance and local forecasts show persistent southeasterly flow and high humidity under the subtropical high through the 28th, limiting radiational cooling and supporting minimums in the low-to-mid 20s °C. A forecasted shift to northerly winds beginning late on the 28th or early the 29th is expected to introduce slightly drier, cooler continental air, which traders interpret as the primary catalyst for the observed 21–22 °C consensus. Historical analogs and recent observational trends indicate that such wind shifts often produce a 2–4 °C drop in the daily minimum relative to the preceding days, while the low probability assigned to 20 °C or below reflects the still-warm sea-surface temperatures and limited time for further cooling before midnight. Official monitoring from Chinese meteorological agencies and ensemble forecasts continue to show tight clustering around these values, reinforcing the market-implied odds.