- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on September 7?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 7?41¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 7?50¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will occur near dawn, with temperatures stabilizing around 16–17 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warm advection, keeping the low close to the seasonal average of roughly 13–14 °C but elevated by lingering warmth from the prior day’s 28–30 °C peak. Ensemble spreads show only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, producing the tight market split between 16 °C and 17 °C. Any final adjustment will depend on the 06–09 UTC model updates and surface observations from Paris stations.