- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 29?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 29?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?10¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 29?91¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on August 29?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a mild overnight minimum near 16–17 °C in Paris on 29 August 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and elevated boundary-layer moisture following several days of light rain. These conditions suppress radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures above the long-term climatological low of 13.5 °C. With the market assigning 90 % implied probability to 17 °C and 10 % to 16 °C, trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around this narrow range and the absence of any cold-air advection that could push readings lower. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.