- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 26?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 26?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 26?28¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 26?27¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 26?36¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from Météo-France and regional models show an overnight minimum near 18–19 °C in Paris under mostly overcast skies, with early-morning readings around 18–19 °C at urban stations. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling, while a mild southwesterly flow advects warmer maritime air, elevating the floor above the long-term August average low of 13.7 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly at 18–20 °C because small differences in model timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Real-time observations through the night will refine these probabilities before resolution.