Lowest temperature in Paris on August 17?
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 17?13¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 17?34¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 17?37¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on August 17?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 17?10¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 17?7¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 17?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 17?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave, with daytime highs near 30–38°C giving way to cloudier conditions and possible thunderstorms by August 15–16, is shaping expectations for Paris overnight lows on the 17th. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a daily minimum around 15–17°C, consistent with seasonal baselines of 15°C, though slight variations in wind patterns or cloud cover could nudge readings higher or lower. Market-implied odds cluster at 17–18°C because traders weigh this model consensus against historical August variability and the narrow two-day window before resolution, where updated observational data from official French monitoring networks could still shift the outcome.