This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 19°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Paris on August 13, reflecting real-time observational data from official meteorological sources such as Météo-France. This positioning stems from confirmed minimum readings during the overnight and early morning hours, consistent with regional surface observations and model analyses showing stable conditions without significant cooling from advection or radiative processes. Historical August baselines for the Paris area typically range 15–22°C for daily minima, providing context for the current outcome. While near-certain market-implied odds indicate strong evidence from verified measurements, rare late revisions in official station data or localized microclimate variations could theoretically alter resolution, though such shifts remain improbable at this stage.