- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 3?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 3?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 3?92¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current warm, humid conditions over the Northeast, driven by southerly flow and high dew points near 70°F, are positioning overnight lows in NYC around 70–73°F according to National Weather Service guidance and model consensus. This setup, with limited radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, supports the market's heavy weighting toward 68–69°F as the day's minimum while assigning low probability to cooler bins. Recent observations from Central Park and surrounding stations show early-morning readings near 70°F, consistent with seasonal norms elevated by ongoing late-summer warmth rather than any rapid cooldown. Updated short-range model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.