- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on August 31?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on August 31?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 31?4¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 31?93¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 31?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 31?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 31?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 31?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 31?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 31?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on August 31?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus from the final days of August 2026 showed Central Park overnight lows stabilizing near 70–71 °F under a warm, humid air mass with light southerly flow and minimal radiational cooling. This aligned closely with climatological norms for late August (average low 66 °F) while recent high-pressure ridging suppressed cooler Canadian air intrusions that historically produce sub-68 °F readings. Trader consensus at 94 % implied probability on the 70–71 °F bin reflects these verified conditions and the narrow resolution window, though an unexpected clear-sky radiative drop or measurement revision at the official station could still shift the outcome into adjacent bins.