- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on August 26?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on August 26?99¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current observations from Newark Liberty International Airport and Central Park stations show a 24-hour low of 64.9°F overnight into August 26, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with northwest winds and dew points near 58°F. This aligns with National Weather Service guidance and the seasonal average low of 67°F for the date, reinforced by recent mild conditions following a period of typical late-summer humidity and light precipitation. Trader consensus at 99% for the 66-67°F bin reflects these verified measurements and model consensus, with low odds on cooler outcomes due to the absence of strong radiative cooling or cold-air advection. A shift toward clearer skies or altered wind patterns could allow the official low to dip a degree or two lower before resolution, though current data indicate limited scope for such movement.