- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 19?>99¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 19?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 19?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on August 19?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on August 19?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on August 19?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on August 19?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on August 19?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 19?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 19?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 19?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The overwhelming market consensus on 74-75°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on August 19, 2026, reflects official observations showing a minimum of 75°F at key stations such as LaGuardia Airport. Recent weather patterns featured elevated overnight temperatures consistent with forecasts from AccuWeather and similar models projecting lows near 75°F amid a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This outcome aligns with broader August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 67°F but can remain elevated during periods of southerly flow. Realistic challenges to the bin would require revised station data, differences in measurement timing, or adjustments from primary sources like the National Weather Service, though current records show strong alignment with trader-implied probabilities.