Lowest temperature in NYC on August 14?
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 14?4¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 14?13¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 14?83¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on August 14?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus strongly favors a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing limited overnight cooling beneath a persistent subtropical ridge and southerly flow. Elevated dew points near 68°F reduce radiative heat loss, while the absence of a passing cold front or clear, dry conditions keeps minimum temperatures anchored above typical late-summer norms. Recent GFS and ECMWF updates through the morning confirm this warm-air advection pattern, consistent with August climatology that rarely produces sub-70°F readings without synoptic changes. Evening observations from Central Park will finalize the official minimum.